Demi Moore’s win at the2025 SAG Awardsessentially secures her Best Actress frontrunner status at the upcoming 2025 Oscars and may have ended the friendly rivalry between her andAnoraactress Mikey Madison. Moore also won Best Actress at the Golden Globes and in several other ceremonies this award season, winning almost everywhere but the BAFTA, which went to Madison. At the2025 SAG Awards streamed on Netflix, which took place on February 23 at the Shrine Auditorium in Los Angeles, Moore joined an esteemed list of2025 SAG Awards winnersalongside Timothée Chalamet, Zoe Saldaña, and Kieran Culkin.
Moore began awards season as a top contender in the2025 Best Actress Oscars racebut didn’t emerge as a frontrunner until her Golden Globe win. Now that she has a SAG Award to add to her Golden Globe, all signs point for Moore to carry the momentum into the 2025 Oscars ceremony. In addition to Madison’s Ani inAnora, the other nominees for the 2025 Best Actress Oscar includeCynthia Erivo ofWicked, Fernanda Torres ofI’m Still Here, and Karla Sofía Gascón ofEmilia Pérez, the latter of whom faced controversy on the Oscars campaign trail.
Demi Moore’s SAG Win Solidifies Her As The Best Actress Oscar Favorite
9 Of The Last 12 SAG Best Actress Winners Have Gone On To Win Oscars
Moore is the favorite heading into Sunday’s ceremony after besting Madison at the 2025 SAG Awards. Moore, who also recently appeared in Taylor Sheridan’s latest Paramount+ seriesLandman, earned a career-first Best Actress Oscar nomination forThe Substance. Moore winning Best Actress at the Oscars would place her in a rare category of actresses winning Best Actress for a leading role in a horror movie, which would be a massive success for the horror genre at large. Moore’s consideration is boosted byThe Substance’sstrong critical reception, box office performance, and Best Picture nomination.
What The SAG Awards Mean For The Oscars 2025: 5 Takeaways From The Winners & Losers
The 2025 SAG Awards have laid out a general blueprint for projected winners of the acting categories at the upcoming 2025 Oscars on March 2nd.
Moore winning Best Actress at the 2025 SAG Awards is a great sign for her chances at the 2025 Oscars. Historically speaking,the SAG Awards have been highly informativeand even predictive of certain acting Oscar categories.
While the Best Actress SAG winner doesn’t always predict the 2025 Best Actress Oscar winner, it has been congruent in 9 of the last 12 years.
The SAG Best Actress winners in 2021 and 2022 both went on to win the Best Actress Oscarin their respective years (Michelle Yeoh forEverything Everywhere All at Oncein 2022 and Jessica Chastain forThe Eyes of Tammy Fayein 2021). While the Best Actress SAG winner doesn’t always predict the 2025 Best Actress Oscar winner, it has been congruent in 9 of the last 12 years.
She Was Projected As The Frontrunner After Her Golden Globes Win
Even before Moore’s big night at the SAG Awards, she had plenty of momentum one week before the 2025 Oscars ceremony. Moore was the frontrunner on the Best Actress lists of bothVarietyandThe Hollywood Reporter, a position she still holds after the 2025 SAG Awards. If Moore does win the Best Actress Oscar, it wouldmake her the first winner for a horror film since Natalie Portman inBlack Swanin 2011. Since Moore has won the Golden Globe and several other notable awards, it’s safe to say that the Best Actress Oscar is hers to lose heading into the 2025 Academy Awards.
It’s Over, Kieran Culkin Is Definitely Going To Win The Best Supporting Actor Oscar Now
Kieran Culkin just took home Best Supporting Actor at the 2025 SAG Awards which now makes his Oscar chances extremely high.
With Moore finally receiving an Oscar nomination for the first time in her acting career, which spans four decades, her longevity in the industry could also be a factor when it comes to Academy voting. Similar to Chalamet vs. Brody in the Best Actor category,Madison is a celebrated yet relatively new Hollywood facewhile Moore has been around the block for quite a while and has yet to receive her roses.
Moore’s chances of winning the Oscar and her frontrunner status appear quite firm and unmoving heading into Sunday.
Oscars voting is rarely ever purely based on the merit of performances alone. With that in mind, Moore’s chances of winning the Oscar and her frontrunner status appear quite firm and unmoving heading into Sunday.
Mikey Madison Needed To Win At SAG To Have A Realistic Chance Of Beating Demi Moore At The Oscars
Statistically Speaking, Madison Still Has A Shot Even If It Is Unlikely
Moore may have the upper hand heading into the 2025 Oscars but don’t count Madison out just yet. Her BAFTA win carries a lot of weight, proving that the 2025 Best Actress Oscars race is far from a blowout and is still very much a competition. Moore is certainly ahead but a glimmer of hope still exists for Madison.
While nine of the 12 SAG Best Actress winners have also won the Oscar, only 3 of the last 6 have pulled off such a feat. During the 2010s, the Best Actress winners at the SAG Awards were essentially predictive of those at the Oscars. However, this is not the case in the landscape of the 2020s, meaning that Madison could walk away with the Oscar following herSAG Awardsloss.
