Aaron Taylor-Johnson is the current frontrunner to take on the role ofJames Bond, but that could change depending on how wellKraven the Hunterdoes at the box office this month. Picking the next Bond is arguably the toughest recasting process that Eon has faced yet. Whereas every previous 007 actor has picked up where their predecessor left off,Daniel Craig’s Bond story came to a definitive endwith the character’s first canonical on-screen death. That means thatBond 26 will be a true fresh start— and Craig, unlike most Bond actors, went out on a high note.

There have been a lot of contenders to be the next Bond actor in Craig’s absence. Theo James and Jack Lowden are both in the running. The success ofBridgertonmade Regé-Jean Page a popular candidate.Paul Mescal has climbed the betting oddssinceGladiator IIhit theaters and proved he has serious action chops. Taylor-Johnson currently has the best chances of landing the role, but that could change this month with the release of his Marvel vehicle,Kraven the Hunter. If that movie doesn’t do well, it could hurt Eon’s faith in the actor.

Aaron Taylor-Johnson in Bullet Train.

Why Aaron Taylor-Johnson Is The Next James Bond Frontrunner

Taylor-Johnson Has Proven He Has The Charisma To Pull It Off

Early on in the search for the next 007 actor, names like Henry Cavill (the previous runner-up) and Idris Elba had been floated around. But in the past few years, Taylor-Johnson has become the popular choice. The British gambling company Ladbrokes has named Taylor-Johnson as the most likely candidate for the job intheir betting odds for the next Bond actor.Taylor-Johnson is at the top of the list with 1/1 (50%) odds; these odds are much higher than some of the other contenders, like Mescal with 2/1 (33.3%), James with 7/2 (22.2%), and Lowden with 9/1 (10%).

The most obvious reason for Taylor-Johnson’s candidacy is that he’s fit for the part.

Daniel Craig in a James Bond gun barrel sequence

The most obvious reason for Taylor-Johnson’s candidacy is that he’s fit for the part. He’ssuave and charismatic. He’s nailed action-oriented roles, but also provenhe has both comic wit and nuanced dramatic chops. Whatever Bond 26 requires of its new star — whether they go for more gritty realism like the Craig era or go back to the wacky self-awareness of the Roger Moore years — Taylor-Johnson would be able to pull it off. Taylor-Johnson’s cold-blooded, dry-witted British assassin Tangerine inBullet Trainwas Bond in all but name, and he was great in that role.

How Kraven The Hunter Could Impact Aaron Taylor-Johnson Being James Bond

It’ll Show How Capable He Is (Or Isn’t) Of Leading A Major Franchise Action Movie

Taylor-Johnson’s next movie —Kraven the Hunter, another Spider-Man villain spin-off from Sony — isset to be released in theaters on December 13. How this movie performs, both critically and commercially, could affect whether he lands the role of 007. There are a few key factors to consider. In terms of quality, it’ll further show how capable Taylor-Johnson is (or isn’t) of leading a major franchise action movie. If it flops, it can’t be blamed on Taylor-Johnson (the Sony Spider-Man Universeisn’t the strongest brand right now), but it won’t be great news for the actor’s Bond prospects.

Kraven the Hunteris directed byTriple Frontier’s J. C. Chandor.

IfKraven the Hunterdoes well, in spite of Sony’s lack of a solid marketing campaign, then it’ll look a lot better for Taylor-Johnson. These won’t be the only factors in the Bond casting decision, of course, and no one movie will make or break it, but it could give his chances a huge boost if it’s a success, or dent them if it’s a disaster. The flip side is that,if it’s a big success, it’ll get sequels, which could make it trickier to take on another franchise, but certainly not impossible (he surely wouldn’t say no to Bond!).

Will 2025 Finally Be The Year The New James Bond Is Announced?

It’s About Time Eon Announced The New Actor

It seems unlikely that Eon will make an announcement about the next Bond actor by the end of 2024, but surely they’ll name Craig’s replacement in 2025.Craig was announced as Pierce Brosnan’s replacement about three years after Brosnan’s final film,Die Another Day, and it’s already been over three years sinceNo Time to Die. Eon knew Craig was stepping down from the role long before they madeNo Time to Die.Craig initially considered quitting the franchise afterSpectre, but ended up returning for one last ride.

James Bond 26’s Casting Conditions Show Just How Hard Finding The Next 007 Actor Really Is

The James Bond producers have finally provided fans with clear conditions for the next 007, but they prove that a new Bond will not be easy to find.

So, the producers have had a long time to discuss Craig’s replacement. What makes it so tricky to cast a new Bond actor is that they have to fit in with the tone of the reboot. Eon has to figure out the direction it wants to take with the next chapter of the Bond series before picking an actor who’s suitable for that direction. Eon has kept fans waiting a long time. If the newJames Bondisn’t announced at some point in 2025, it’ll be very surprising.

An edited image of Daniel Craig in a tuxedo as James Bond.

James Bond

The James Bond franchise follows the adventures of British secret agent 007 as he combats global threats. With a license to kill, Bond faces off against various villains and criminal organizations, employing high-tech gadgets, espionage, and charm. The series spans multiple films, featuring exotic locations, thrilling action sequences, and memorable characters. Bond’s mission to protect the world and uphold justice remains central, making the franchise an enduring icon in the spy genre.

No Time to Die Film Poster